2020 NFL Win Forecasts: Week 7

Oct 22 2020 by Stampede Blue

 
IndyStar-USA TODAY NETWORK

This is an exercise in building a simple blind predictive model based on a team’s historical stats in 4 areas: pass and rush efficiency, and avg EPA for special teams and penalties. The season long experiment will track how well future games are determined by past statistical performance and compare that record against Vegas betting lines.

All data used originates from Pro Football Reference and nflFastR.

Week 6 was a good week. I went 11 for 14 and...

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