APC Week 17 NFL Picks: Will the Packers earn a W over the Vikings as a home favorite?

Dec 31 2022 by Acme Packing Company

 
Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images

Green Bay is favored by about a field goal despite a big disparity in records between the two teams.

Throw the records out. When looking at the underlying numbers, the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings are teams of roughly equivalent quality. The Packers’ point differential is -23, yielding an expected Win/Loss record of 7-8, which matches their actual record. The Vikings, meanwhile, are just +5, the type of result expected from a team...

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