Oops! The Worst Political Predictions of 2022

Jan 1 2023 by POLITICO - TOP Stories

 

After years of assembling the annual “worst predictions” list for POLITICO Magazine, I’ve come to understand a difference, subtle but distinct, between bad predictions and ones that are truly awful.

We start with a quick taxonomy of three different bad prediction archetypes:

Misreading: When you make a sincere, clear-eyed attempt to see things as they are, and come to a reasonable conclusion — but the great world spins and things turn out differently because you missed...

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